Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Sodiq Yusuff
Don Shainis
66%
34%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
29
Age
Δ 3y
32
W1
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Yusuff: 9 sig / 0 TD ·
Shainis: 3 sig / 0 TD
Sodiq Yusuff
Don Shainis
49
Sig strikes landed
35
98
Sig strikes attempted
85
67
Total strikes landed
51
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
139s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
50%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Sodiq Yusuff
"Super"
14-5
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
—
W
UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
Don Shainis
"Shameless"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32