Main
Light Heavyweight
Dustin Jacoby vs Khalil Rountree Jr.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Dustin Jacoby
Khalil Rountree Jr.
67%
33%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 0"
76"
35
Age
Δ 2y
33
23-9-1
Career record
Δ 0 pp
16-7
W4
Current streak
W2
9
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Jacoby: 120 sig / 0 TD ·
Rountree Jr.: 85 sig / 0 TD
Dustin Jacoby
Khalil Rountree Jr.
49
Sig strikes landed
30
111
Sig strikes attempted
90
57
Total strikes landed
31
0.2
Takedowns landed
0.3
1.3
Takedowns attempted
0.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
14s
Control time
16s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
70%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
23-9-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
9 fights · 6-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
Blue corner
W2
Khalil Rountree Jr.
16-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
12 fights · 6-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ti…
—
L
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 236: Holloway vs. Poirier 2
—