Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Josh Fremd
Tresean Gore
62%
38%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
29
Age
Δ 0y
28
11-7
Career record
Δ 3 pp
7-5
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Fremd: 24 sig / 0 TD ·
Gore: 10 sig / 3 TD
Josh Fremd
Tresean Gore
34
Sig strikes landed
25
65
Sig strikes attempted
45
54
Total strikes landed
41
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.40
160s
Control time
94s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Josh Fremd
11-7
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
Blue corner
L2
Tresean Gore
"Mr. Vicious"
7-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—