Prelims1
Women's Strawweight
Piera Rodriguez vs Sam Hughes
UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
·Meta Apex
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Piera Rodriguez
Sam Hughes
71%
29%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 0"
64"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
13-2
Career record
Δ 24 pp
12-7
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rodriguez: 83 sig / 5 TD ·
Hughes: 69 sig / 0 TD
Piera Rodriguez
Sam Hughes
55
Sig strikes landed
40
118
Sig strikes attempted
101
86
Total strikes landed
66
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.8
Takedowns attempted
3.5
0.10
Knockdowns
0.00
201s
Control time
172s
Method
Decision
68%
KO/TKO
13%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Piera Rodriguez
"La Fiera"
13-2
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Ko…
—
Blue corner
W2
Sam Hughes
"Sampage"
12-7
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
L
UFC 256: Figueiredo vs. Moreno
—