Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Nick Maximov
Jacob Malkoun
57%
43%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 3"
73"
25
Age
Δ 2y
27
8-3
Career record
Δ 1 pp
10-4
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Maximov: 34 sig / 0 TD ·
Malkoun: 83 sig / 9 TD
Nick Maximov
Jacob Malkoun
24
Sig strikes landed
22
47
Sig strikes attempted
37
62
Total strikes landed
55
2.0
Takedowns landed
2.7
3.9
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
229s
Control time
238s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Nick Maximov
8-3
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
Blue corner
L1
Jacob Malkoun
"Mamba"
10-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
W
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. …
—
L
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—