Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Jordan Wright
Dusko Todorovic
51%
49%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
31
Age
Δ 3y
28
12-6
Career record
Δ 2 pp
13-7
L2
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Wright: 25 sig / 3 TD ·
Todorovic: 61 sig / 0 TD
Jordan Wright
Dusko Todorovic
27
Sig strikes landed
23
51
Sig strikes attempted
42
45
Total strikes landed
38
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.3
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
91s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
48%
Submission
26%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Jordan Wright
"The Beverly Hills Ninja"
12-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
L
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—
Blue corner
L1
Dusko Todorovic
"Thunder"
13-7
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Vieira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—