Back to UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo
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Misha Cirkunov vs Alonzo Menifield

UFC Fight Night: Grasso vs. Araujo ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Misha Cirkunov
Alonzo Menifield
40% 60%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
36
Age
Δ 1y
35
15-10
Career record
Δ 13 pp
19-6-1
L3
Current streak
W1
12
UFC fights in our DB
8

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cirkunov: 5 sig / 0 TD · Menifield: 8 sig / 0 TD
Misha Cirkunov
Alonzo Menifield
19
Sig strikes landed
30
42
Sig strikes attempted
48
32
Total strikes landed
55
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
112s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
22%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
28%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L3

Misha Cirkunov

15-10
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database 12 fights · 6-6
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
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L UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
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L UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Mu…
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W UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
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L UFC 235: Jones vs. Smith
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Blue corner
W1

Alonzo Menifield

"Atomic"
19-6-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 8 fights · 5-3
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
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L UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
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W UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
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W UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou
—
L UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sa…
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