Prelims1
Middleweight
Andre Petroski vs Wellington Turman
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Andre Petroski
Wellington Turman
48%
52%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
31
Age
Δ 5y
26
14-6
Career record
Δ 0 pp
19-8
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Petroski: 42 sig / 8 TD ·
Turman: 41 sig / 1 TD
Andre Petroski
Wellington Turman
35
Sig strikes landed
31
69
Sig strikes attempted
58
54
Total strikes landed
43
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.3
4.7
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
206s
Control time
127s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Andre Petroski
14-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Switch
Age
31
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
Blue corner
W2
Wellington Turman
"The Prodigy"
19-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—