Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Dan Hooker
Claudio Puelles
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
72"
33
Age
Δ 6y
27
24-15
Career record
Δ 12 pp
14-5
L2
Current streak
W5
19
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hooker: 29 sig / 0 TD ·
Puelles: 5 sig / 0 TD
Dan Hooker
Claudio Puelles
37
Sig strikes landed
38
62
Sig strikes attempted
77
55
Total strikes landed
64
0.4
Takedowns landed
2.0
0.6
Takedowns attempted
6.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
76s
Control time
255s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
32%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Dan Hooker
"The Hangman"
24-15
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Switch
Age
33
In our database
19 fights · 11-8
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC 266: Volkanovski vs. Ortega
—
L
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
Blue corner
W5
Claudio Puelles
"Prince of Peru"
14-5
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Andr…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Aldo
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Usman
—