Prelims2
Featherweight
Michael Trizano vs SeungWoo Choi
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Michael Trizano
SeungWoo Choi
61%
39%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
11-4
Career record
Δ 18 pp
11-9
L2
Current streak
L2
6
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Trizano: 32 sig / 0 TD ·
Choi: 26 sig / 0 TD
Michael Trizano
SeungWoo Choi
43
Sig strikes landed
42
91
Sig strikes attempted
105
56
Total strikes landed
59
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
82s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Michael Trizano
"The Lone Wolf"
11-4
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie …
—
Blue corner
L2
SeungWoo Choi
"Sting"
11-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Jung vs. Ige
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—