Prelims2
Women's Strawweight
Karolina Kowalkiewicz vs Silvana Gomez Juarez
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira
·Madison Square Garden
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Silvana Gomez Juarez
54%
46%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 1"
65"
37
Age
Δ 1y
38
17-10
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-5
W1
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Kowalkiewicz: 74 sig / 2 TD ·
Gomez Juarez: 77 sig / 0 TD
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
Silvana Gomez Juarez
51
Sig strikes landed
54
118
Sig strikes attempted
131
75
Total strikes landed
65
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
137s
Control time
76s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Karolina Kowalkiewicz
17-10
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
37
In our database
13 fights · 6-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
L
UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
—
L
UFC 238: Cejudo vs. Moraes
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ga…
—
Blue corner
W1
Silvana Gomez Juarez
"La Malvada"
12-5
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
W
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka
—
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—