Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Li Jingliang
Daniel Rodriguez
44%
56%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
34
Age
Δ 1y
36
20-9
Career record
Δ 12 pp
21-5
W1
Current streak
W3
16
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Jingliang: 78 sig / 1 TD ·
Rodriguez: 88 sig / 0 TD
Li Jingliang
Daniel Rodriguez
63
Sig strikes landed
76
168
Sig strikes attempted
152
71
Total strikes landed
85
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
52s
Control time
61s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Li Jingliang
"The Leech"
20-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
16 fights · 11-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rod…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
L
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
Blue corner
W3
Daniel Rodriguez
"D-Rod"
21-5
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edg…
—