Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Johnny Walker
Ion Cutelaba
64%
36%
Why
82"
Reach
Δ 7"
75"
30
Age
Δ 2y
29
22-11
Career record
Δ 6 pp
20-12-1
L2
Current streak
L1
8
UFC fights in our DB
12
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Walker: 3 sig / 1 TD ·
Cutelaba: 3 sig / 1 TD
Johnny Walker
Ion Cutelaba
26
Sig strikes landed
22
54
Sig strikes attempted
49
37
Total strikes landed
39
0.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.2
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
63s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
29%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
25%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Johnny Walker
22-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
82"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
8 fights · 4-4
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Wal…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz
—
Blue corner
L1
Ion Cutelaba
"The Hulk"
20-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
12 fights · 5-6
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
L
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Benavidez vs. …
—