Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Denis Tiuliulin
Jamie Pickett
47%
53%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
80"
34
Age
Δ 0y
34
10-11
Career record
Δ 4 pp
13-12
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Tiuliulin: 73 sig / 0 TD ·
Pickett: 60 sig / 0 TD
Denis Tiuliulin
Jamie Pickett
35
Sig strikes landed
42
77
Sig strikes attempted
90
48
Total strikes landed
59
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
114s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Denis Tiuliulin
10-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
Blue corner
L1
Jamie Pickett
"The Night Wolf"
13-12
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Costa vs. Vett…
—
L
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. N…
—