Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Emiliano Linares
Jack Jenkins
55%
45%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 4"
68"
25
Age
Δ 4y
29
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Linares: 17 sig / 0 TD ·
Jenkins: 52 sig / 4 TD
Emiliano Linares
Jack Jenkins
36
Sig strikes landed
36
77
Sig strikes attempted
72
45
Total strikes landed
52
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
97s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Emiliano Linares
"Golden Bull"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
Blue corner
Jack Jenkins
"Phar"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Switch
Age
29