Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Raul Rosas Jr.
Mando Gutierrez
82%
18%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 3"
70"
18
Age
Δ 8y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Rosas Jr.: 20 sig / 3 TD ·
Gutierrez: 12 sig / 1 TD
Raul Rosas Jr.
Mando Gutierrez
38
Sig strikes landed
31
74
Sig strikes attempted
64
57
Total strikes landed
47
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.3
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
174s
Control time
87s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Raul Rosas Jr.
"El Nino Problema"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
18
Blue corner
Mando Gutierrez
"El Toro"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26