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Main Middleweight

Leon Aliu vs Brunno Ferreira

DWCS 6.9 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Leon Aliu
Brunno Ferreira
44% 56%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
33
Age
Δ 3y
30

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Aliu: 10 sig / 0 TD · Ferreira: 16 sig / 0 TD
Leon Aliu
Brunno Ferreira
36
Sig strikes landed
37
76
Sig strikes attempted
75
49
Total strikes landed
56
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
93s
Control time
158s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
46%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Leon Aliu

"The Albanian Lion"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
Blue corner

Brunno Ferreira

"The Hulk"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30