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Main Heavyweight

Richard Jacobi vs Austen Lane

DWCS 6.9 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Richard Jacobi
Austen Lane
66% 34%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 4"
80"
29
Age
Δ 6y
35
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jacobi: 4 sig / 1 TD · Lane: 18 sig / 0 TD
Richard Jacobi
Austen Lane
34
Sig strikes landed
26
59
Sig strikes attempted
59
51
Total strikes landed
38
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
105s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
9%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Richard Jacobi

0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
L1

Austen Lane

13-9 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L DWCS 2.1
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