Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Bruna Brasil
Marnic Mann
60%
40%
Why
66"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
29
Age
Δ 0y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Brasil: 40 sig / 2 TD ·
Mann: 19 sig / 3 TD
Bruna Brasil
Marnic Mann
38
Sig strikes landed
34
79
Sig strikes attempted
62
70
Total strikes landed
62
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
147s
Control time
159s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Bruna Brasil
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
Marnic Mann
"The Sawed-Off Savage"
0-0
Career record
Height
60"
Reach
64"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30