Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Malik Lewis
Trevor Peek
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 5"
70"
26
Age
Δ 1y
28
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Lewis: 65 sig / 4 TD ·
Peek: 54 sig / 1 TD
Malik Lewis
Trevor Peek
35
Sig strikes landed
34
77
Sig strikes attempted
71
48
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
161s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
19%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Malik Lewis
"Hard Knock"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Trevor Peek
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Switch
Age
28