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Ismael Bonfim vs Nariman Abbasov

DWCS 6.7 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Ismael Bonfim
Nariman Abbasov
40% 60%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 6"
66"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bonfim: 85 sig / 1 TD · Abbasov: 45 sig / 0 TD
Ismael Bonfim
Nariman Abbasov
35
Sig strikes landed
37
83
Sig strikes attempted
78
50
Total strikes landed
53
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.2
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
113s
Control time
163s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Ismael Bonfim

"Marreta"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner

Nariman Abbasov

"Bayraktar"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29