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Main Heavyweight

Jimmy Lawson vs Karl Williams

DWCS 6.7 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Jimmy Lawson
Karl Williams
46% 54%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
79"
31
Age
Δ 2y
33

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Lawson: 1 sig / 0 TD · Williams: 24 sig / 3 TD
Jimmy Lawson
Karl Williams
30
Sig strikes landed
34
55
Sig strikes attempted
70
39
Total strikes landed
59
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.1
Takedowns attempted
1.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
123s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
32%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Jimmy Lawson

"Greedy"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner

Karl Williams

0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33