Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Armen Petrosyan
AJ Dobson
56%
44%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 5"
76"
32
Age
Δ 1y
31
9-6
Career record
Δ 4 pp
7-4
L1
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Petrosyan: 118 sig / 0 TD ·
Dobson: 58 sig / 3 TD
Armen Petrosyan
AJ Dobson
67
Sig strikes landed
54
132
Sig strikes attempted
121
70
Total strikes landed
67
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
72s
Control time
77s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Armen Petrosyan
"Superman"
9-6
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
Blue corner
L1
AJ Dobson
7-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker…
—