Main
Women's Flyweight
Katlyn Cerminara vs Manon Fiorot
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Katlyn Cerminara
Manon Fiorot
53%
47%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 3"
65"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
19-6
Career record
Δ 12 pp
14-2
W4
Current streak
W4
15
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cerminara: 76 sig / 0 TD ·
Fiorot: 98 sig / 1 TD
Katlyn Cerminara
Manon Fiorot
75
Sig strikes landed
71
197
Sig strikes attempted
159
98
Total strikes landed
80
0.5
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.00
Knockdowns
0.10
89s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
72%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Katlyn Cerminara
"Blonde Fighter"
19-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
15 fights · 11-4
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chi…
—
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—
Blue corner
W4
Manon Fiorot
"The Beast"
14-2
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Ladd vs. Dumont
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—