Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Beneil Dariush
Mateusz Gamrot
45%
55%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
24-8-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
27-4
W7
Current streak
W4
20
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dariush: 59 sig / 0 TD ·
Gamrot: 33 sig / 4 TD
Beneil Dariush
Mateusz Gamrot
33
Sig strikes landed
42
79
Sig strikes attempted
90
56
Total strikes landed
59
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.2
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
166s
Control time
128s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
24%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W7
Beneil Dariush
24-8-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
20 fights · 15-4
Last 5
W
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Olei…
—
W
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
Blue corner
W4
Mateusz Gamrot
"Gamer"
27-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Dauk…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. The…
—