Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Volkan Oezdemir vs Nikita Krylov
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev
·Etihad Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Volkan Oezdemir
Nikita Krylov
34%
66%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
33
Age
Δ 2y
31
22-8
Career record
Δ 1 pp
32-11
W1
Current streak
W1
11
UFC fights in our DB
16
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Oezdemir: 42 sig / 1 TD ·
Krylov: 57 sig / 7 TD
Volkan Oezdemir
Nikita Krylov
43
Sig strikes landed
42
79
Sig strikes attempted
88
60
Total strikes landed
55
0.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
117s
Control time
124s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Volkan Oezdemir
"No Time"
22-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
11 fights · 6-5
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
L
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shevchenko vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Nikita Krylov
"The Miner"
32-11
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
16 fights · 9-7
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. As…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Asp…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Olivei…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Gae…
—