Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Trevin Giles
Louis Cosce
60%
40%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
71"
30
Age
Δ 3y
27
16-8
Career record
Δ 3 pp
7-3
L2
Current streak
L1
9
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Giles: 25 sig / 2 TD ·
Cosce: 10 sig / 1 TD
Trevin Giles
Louis Cosce
65
Sig strikes landed
35
140
Sig strikes attempted
84
83
Total strikes landed
53
1.1
Takedowns landed
0.3
3.9
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
124s
Control time
44s
Method
Decision
61%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Trevin Giles
16-8
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
9 fights · 5-4
Last 5
L
UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane
—
L
UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Brunson vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Tei…
—
W
UFC 247: Jones vs. Reyes
—
Blue corner
L1
Louis Cosce
7-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—