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Prelims1 Women's Strawweight

Denise Gomes vs Loma Lookboonmee

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Denise Gomes
Loma Lookboonmee
71% 29%
Why
63"
Reach
Δ 2"
62"
23
Age
Δ 4y
27
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Gomes: 19 sig / 0 TD · Lookboonmee: 48 sig / 4 TD
Denise Gomes
Loma Lookboonmee
48
Sig strikes landed
49
102
Sig strikes attempted
93
79
Total strikes landed
66
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
183s
Control time
125s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
12%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Denise Gomes

"Dee"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
Blue corner
L1

Loma Lookboonmee

10-6
Career record
Height
61"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
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