Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Damon Jackson
Pat Sabatini
44%
56%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 1"
70"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
24-8-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
23-5
W3
Current streak
W4
8
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jackson: 11 sig / 1 TD ·
Sabatini: 1 sig / 0 TD
Damon Jackson
Pat Sabatini
11
Sig strikes landed
20
35
Sig strikes attempted
42
36
Total strikes landed
48
1.1
Takedowns landed
2.0
3.5
Takedowns attempted
4.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
146s
Control time
267s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Damon Jackson
"The Leech"
24-8-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Rodri…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs.…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
—
Blue corner
W4
Pat Sabatini
23-5
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vieira vs. Tate
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
W
UFC 261: Usman vs. Masvidal 2
—