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Main Women's Strawweight

Yazmin Jauregui vs Iasmin Lucindo

UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz ·Pechanga Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Yazmin Jauregui
Iasmin Lucindo
45% 55%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 2"
66"
24
Age
Δ 3y
21

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Jauregui: 86 sig / 0 TD · Lucindo: 66 sig / 0 TD
Yazmin Jauregui
Iasmin Lucindo
36
Sig strikes landed
42
84
Sig strikes attempted
91
64
Total strikes landed
76
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
138s
Control time
179s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Yazmin Jauregui

0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner

Iasmin Lucindo

0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
21