Main
Light Heavyweight
Devin Clark vs Azamat Murzakanov
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs. Cruz
·Pechanga Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Devin Clark
Azamat Murzakanov
34%
66%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
15-9
Career record
Δ 32 pp
17-1
W1
Current streak
W1
13
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Clark: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Murzakanov: 79 sig / 0 TD
Devin Clark
Azamat Murzakanov
26
Sig strikes landed
32
64
Sig strikes attempted
64
35
Total strikes landed
42
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
33s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
57%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Devin Clark
"Brown Bear"
15-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
13 fights · 7-6
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Clark
—
W
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Anderson vs. B…
—
Blue corner
W1
Azamat Murzakanov
"The Professional"
17-1
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—