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Prelims1 Flyweight

Ode Osbourne vs Tyson Nam

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Ode Osbourne
Tyson Nam
62% 38%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 5"
68"
31
Age
Δ 8y
39
14-9
Career record
Δ 4 pp
21-15-1
W2
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
5

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Osbourne: 15 sig / 0 TD · Nam: 13 sig / 0 TD
Ode Osbourne
Tyson Nam
41
Sig strikes landed
34
91
Sig strikes attempted
78
44
Total strikes landed
42
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.9
1.1
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
25s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
58%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Ode Osbourne

"The Jamaican Sensation"
14-9 (2 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
73"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W UFC Fight Night: Volkov vs. Roz…
W UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
L UFC 265: Lewis vs. Gane
W UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Vo…
L UFC 246: McGregor vs. Cowboy
Blue corner
L1

Tyson Nam

21-15-1
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
39
In our database 5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
L UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
W UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. …
W UFC Fight Night: Eye vs. Calvil…
L UFC Fight Night: Felder vs. Hoo…
L UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. …