Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Joshua Wang-Kim
Cameron Saaiman
45%
55%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 4"
67"
30
Age
Δ 8y
22
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Wang-Kim: 38 sig / 1 TD ·
Saaiman: 57 sig / 1 TD
Joshua Wang-Kim
Cameron Saaiman
36
Sig strikes landed
37
74
Sig strikes attempted
75
52
Total strikes landed
55
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
121s
Control time
155s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Joshua Wang-Kim
"Twin Dragon"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Switch
Age
30
Blue corner
Cameron Saaiman
"MSP"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
22