Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Rayanne dos Santos
Denise Gomes
40%
60%
Why
62"
Reach
Δ 1"
63"
27
Age
Δ 4y
23
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
dos Santos: 55 sig / 1 TD ·
Gomes: 103 sig / 0 TD
Rayanne dos Santos
Denise Gomes
37
Sig strikes landed
42
81
Sig strikes attempted
88
64
Total strikes landed
70
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
153s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Rayanne dos Santos
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
62"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
Denise Gomes
"Dee"
0-0
Career record
Height
62"
Reach
63"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23