Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Hailey Cowan
Claudia Leite
43%
57%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
64"
30
Age
Δ 5y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Cowan: 26 sig / 1 TD ·
Leite: 19 sig / 1 TD
Hailey Cowan
Claudia Leite
36
Sig strikes landed
34
75
Sig strikes attempted
70
63
Total strikes landed
65
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.4
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
152s
Control time
190s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Hailey Cowan
"All Hail"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
67"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
Blue corner
Claudia Leite
0-0
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
65"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26