Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Jack Cartwright
Jose Johnson
63%
37%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 4"
72"
28
Age
Δ 1y
27
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Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cartwright: 12 sig / 6 TD ·
Johnson: 50 sig / 1 TD
Jack Cartwright
Jose Johnson
36
Sig strikes landed
29
57
Sig strikes attempted
56
52
Total strikes landed
45
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.3
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
161s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
27%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Jack Cartwright
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner
L1
Jose Johnson
"Zhakwarius"
16-11
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
DWCS 4.5
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