Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Nazim Sadykhov
Ahmad Hassanzada
54%
46%
Why
69"
Reach
Δ 6"
75"
28
Age
Δ 3y
26
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Sadykhov: 53 sig / 0 TD ·
Hassanzada: 31 sig / 2 TD
Nazim Sadykhov
Ahmad Hassanzada
33
Sig strikes landed
38
64
Sig strikes attempted
78
50
Total strikes landed
55
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
2.6
Takedowns attempted
1.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
146s
Control time
130s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Nazim Sadykhov
"Black Wolf"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
Blue corner
Ahmad Hassanzada
"Lion of the Ring"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26