Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ivan Valenzuela
Claudio Ribeiro
59%
41%
Why
77"
Reach
77"
30
Age
Δ 0y
30
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Valenzuela: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Ribeiro: 4 sig / 0 TD
Ivan Valenzuela
Claudio Ribeiro
34
Sig strikes landed
36
74
Sig strikes attempted
74
47
Total strikes landed
51
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
120s
Control time
145s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
45%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Ivan Valenzuela
"Bam Bam"
0-0
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
Blue corner
Claudio Ribeiro
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30