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Thomas Paull vs Esteban Ribovics

DWCS 6.4 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Thomas Paull
Esteban Ribovics
43% 57%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Paull: 11 sig / 0 TD · Ribovics: 13 sig / 0 TD
Thomas Paull
Esteban Ribovics
33
Sig strikes landed
38
68
Sig strikes attempted
81
45
Total strikes landed
56
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.2
2.6
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
113s
Control time
148s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
42%
Submission
17%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Thomas Paull

"Juggernaut"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
Blue corner

Esteban Ribovics

"El Gringo"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26