Back to DWCS 6.3
Main Featherweight

Erik Silva vs Anvar Boynazarov

DWCS 6.3 ·Meta Apex
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Erik Silva
Anvar Boynazarov
62% 38%
Why
35
Age
Δ 2y
34

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Silva: 12 sig / 1 TD · Boynazarov: 0 sig / 0 TD
Erik Silva
Anvar Boynazarov
33
Sig strikes landed
31
72
Sig strikes attempted
70
51
Total strikes landed
39
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.3
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
41%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Erik Silva

"The King"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
Blue corner

Anvar Boynazarov

"The Uzbek"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34