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Main Heavyweight

Paulo Renato Junior vs Jamal Pogues

DWCS 6.3 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
Paulo Renato Junior
Jamal Pogues
61% 39%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
28
Age
Δ 2y
27
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Renato Junior: 77 sig / 0 TD · Pogues: 69 sig / 0 TD
Paulo Renato Junior
Jamal Pogues
28
Sig strikes landed
46
72
Sig strikes attempted
75
47
Total strikes landed
52
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.2
3.7
Takedowns attempted
0.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.50
171s
Control time
64s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
21%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Paulo Renato Junior

0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
Blue corner
W1

Jamal Pogues

12-5
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W DWCS 3.9
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