Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Danilo Suzart
73%
27%
Why
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Cortes Acosta: 43 sig / 0 TD ·
Suzart: 15 sig / 0 TD
Waldo Cortes Acosta
Danilo Suzart
39
Sig strikes landed
30
74
Sig strikes attempted
61
58
Total strikes landed
48
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
154s
Control time
102s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Waldo Cortes Acosta
"Salsa Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
Blue corner
Danilo Suzart
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31