Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Vinicius Salvador
Shannon Ross
79%
21%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 4"
66"
26
Age
Δ 7y
33
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Salvador: 79 sig / 0 TD ·
Ross: 67 sig / 0 TD
Vinicius Salvador
Shannon Ross
40
Sig strikes landed
34
82
Sig strikes attempted
70
54
Total strikes landed
47
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
133s
Control time
136s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Vinicius Salvador
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
26
Blue corner
Shannon Ross
"The Turkish Delight"
0-0
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
66"
Stance
Switch
Age
33