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Charlie Campbell vs Chris Duncan

DWCS 6.2 ·Meta Apex
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Charlie Campbell
Chris Duncan
47% 53%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 1"
72"
27
Age
Δ 2y
29
—
Current streak
L1
0
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Campbell: 16 sig / 0 TD · Duncan: 15 sig / 0 TD
Charlie Campbell
Chris Duncan
40
Sig strikes landed
38
84
Sig strikes attempted
76
56
Total strikes landed
56
0.7
Takedowns landed
1.4
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
109s
Control time
147s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Charlie Campbell

"The Cannibal"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
Blue corner
L1

Chris Duncan

"The Problem"
15-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L DWCS 5.7
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