Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Sean Woodson
Luis Saldana
68%
32%
Why
78"
Reach
Δ 5"
73"
30
Age
Δ 1y
32
14-2-1
Career record
Δ 14 pp
17-7-1
W2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Woodson: 73 sig / 0 TD ·
Saldana: 91 sig / 1 TD
Sean Woodson
Luis Saldana
69
Sig strikes landed
61
154
Sig strikes attempted
135
72
Total strikes landed
70
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.8
0.9
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.10
64s
Control time
73s
Method
Decision
73%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Sean Woodson
"The Sniper"
14-2-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ho…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weid…
—
Blue corner
W1
Luis Saldana
17-7-1
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Da…
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—