Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
AJ Fletcher
Ange Loosa
64%
36%
Why
67"
Reach
Δ 7"
74"
26
Age
Δ 4y
29
10-4
Career record
Δ 9 pp
10-6
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Fletcher: 87 sig / 0 TD ·
Loosa: 129 sig / 2 TD
AJ Fletcher
Ange Loosa
57
Sig strikes landed
46
117
Sig strikes attempted
103
80
Total strikes landed
64
2.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
12.8
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
254s
Control time
79s
Method
Decision
53%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
AJ Fletcher
"The Ghost"
10-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
67"
Stance
Switch
Age
26
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Ank…
—
Blue corner
L1
Ange Loosa
"The Last Ninja"
10-6
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Muha…
—