Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Amir Albazi
Francisco Figueiredo
75%
25%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
29
Age
Δ 4y
33
18-3
Career record
Δ 16 pp
14-5-1
W2
Current streak
W1
2
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Albazi: 12 sig / 2 TD ·
Figueiredo: 11 sig / 0 TD
Amir Albazi
Francisco Figueiredo
22
Sig strikes landed
21
56
Sig strikes attempted
51
42
Total strikes landed
35
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.6
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
179s
Control time
160s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
17%
Submission
36%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Amir Albazi
"The Prince"
18-3
Career record
Height
65"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Figueiredo vs.…
—
Blue corner
W1
Francisco Figueiredo
"Sniper"
14-5-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Mag…
—