Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Dustin Jacoby vs Da Woon Jung
UFC Fight Night: Ortega vs. Rodriguez
·UBS Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Dustin Jacoby
Da Woon Jung
53%
47%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
78"
34
Age
Δ 6y
29
23-9-1
Career record
Δ 0 pp
16-6-1
W3
Current streak
W2
8
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Jacoby: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Jung: 14 sig / 0 TD
Dustin Jacoby
Da Woon Jung
46
Sig strikes landed
37
106
Sig strikes attempted
106
65
Total strikes landed
47
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.0
1.6
Takedowns attempted
3.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
33s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
51%
Submission
9%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Dustin Jacoby
"The Hanyak"
23-9-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
8 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC 272: Covington vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Ch…
—
D
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Proc…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
Blue corner
W2
Da Woon Jung
"Sseda"
16-6-1
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
5 fights · 4-0
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. R…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Ho…
—
D
UFC 254: Khabib vs. Gaethje
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs. The …
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—