Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Li Jingliang
Muslim Salikhov
52%
48%
Why
72"
Reach
Δ 2"
70"
34
Age
Δ 4y
38
19-10
Career record
Δ 14 pp
23-6
L1
Current streak
W5
15
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Jingliang: 38 sig / 1 TD ·
Salikhov: 23 sig / 1 TD
Li Jingliang
Muslim Salikhov
54
Sig strikes landed
49
128
Sig strikes attempted
108
55
Total strikes landed
56
0.5
Takedowns landed
0.5
1.5
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.40
Knockdowns
0.40
56s
Control time
55s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
6%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Li Jingliang
"The Leech"
19-10
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
15 fights · 10-5
Last 5
L
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
L
UFC 248: Adesanya vs. Romero
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Zh…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ng…
—
Blue corner
W5
Muslim Salikhov
"King of Kung Fu"
23-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs…
—
W
UFC 251: Usman vs. Masvidal
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren
—
W
UFC 242: Khabib vs. Poirier
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Ga…
—