Main
Middleweight
Nassourdine Imavov vs Joaquin Buckley
UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Tuivasa
·Accor Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Nassourdine Imavov
Joaquin Buckley
60%
40%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 1"
76"
26
Age
Δ 2y
28
18-4
Career record
Δ 8 pp
22-8
W2
Current streak
W3
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Imavov: 51 sig / 2 TD ·
Buckley: 46 sig / 0 TD
Nassourdine Imavov
Joaquin Buckley
46
Sig strikes landed
30
90
Sig strikes attempted
91
63
Total strikes landed
47
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
3.4
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
102s
Control time
78s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
52%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Nassourdine Imavov
"The Sniper"
18-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. …
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Le…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Aldana
—
Blue corner
W3
Joaquin Buckley
"New Mansa"
22-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
7 fights · 5-2
Last 5
W
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emm…
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Hill
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. K…
—
W
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez
—